The Research

The paper

• February 2022. World Uncertainty Index. NBER Working Paper.
• November 2018. World Uncertainty Index. Mimeo.
• Replication files of the mimeo.

Articles

• March 2023. Econofact. “Understanding and Measuring Uncertainty”.
• January 2023. IMF Blog. “Global Economic Uncertainty Remains Elevated, Weighing on Growth”.
• December 2022. VoxEU. “Tracking uncertainty in a rapidly changing global economic outlook”. 
• September 2022. Harvard Business Review. “Visualizing the Rise of Global Economic Uncertainty”. 
• April 2022. IMF Blog. “Global Economic Uncertainty, Surging Amid War, May Slow Growth”.
• May 2021. VoxEU. “Why global uncertainty is declining”.
• January 2021. IMF Blog. “What the Continued Global Uncertainty Means for You”.
• April 2020. IMF Blog. “Global Uncertainty Related to Coronavirus at Record High”.
• March 2020. Finance & Development. “60 Years of Uncertainty”.
• September 2019. IMF Blog. “New Index Tracks Trade Uncertainty Across the Globe”.
• July 2019. VoxEU.”Caution: Trade uncertainty is rising and can harm the global economy”.
• May 2019. VoxEU. “The global economy hit by higher uncertainty”.
• November 2018. VoxEU.”Global uncertainty is rising, and that is a bad omen for growth”.